Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Start Making Serious Money In The Forex Market This Year

by John Anghelache

The forex market is the largest in the world.


About $1.5 Trillion dollars flow through it daily. Finally, the forex is open to all of us. For decades only banks, investment firms and super-wealthy individuals had access to the forex.


Making money in the forex is a matter of having accurate information and using it properly.


But where do you turn to if you're new to currency investing?


Here are a couple of options:


1. Find a mentor.
Start talking to investors in the market and find someone you hit it off with who is doing well trading currencies.


Ask them for their advice about what books to read, programs to buy and strategies to consider.


Most successful investors - once you build a relationship with them - are more than willing to "show off" and spill the beans a little.


2. Read top-selling books on forex trading.
One outstanding characterisitc successful investors have is they never stop learning.


Reading best sellers on forex gives you an continual supply of cutting-edge information. A lot of times just one simple idea can result in windfall profits for you.


3. Invest in one forex trading program per quarter.
Nothing will short cut the learning curve like having a proven strategy. Do a little research and find out what the most recommended programs are.


Then invest in one program every three months for one year. At the end of the year you will have four proven strategies for trading forex.


Keep this in mind...


The ultimate success formula is to find someone who is already getting the results you want... model what they do... and monitor your results.


When you combine the three pieces of advice above you give yourself the greatest edge.


Before you know it you'll be trading like an expert.


Now, go get 'em and start making serious money in the forex market this year. You can do it.

John Anghelache is a consumer advocate for currency investors. Find out how to avoid losing your shirt in the forex market at www.forexscamsexposed.com



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Forex Charts Explained !

The forex charts that you’ll be using for your trading, depending on the forex system that you’re using, may be either line charts, OHLC charts, and probably most commonly, Japanese candlestick charts.

Remember that any currency pair is always quoted in the same order. For example, the USDCHF is always quoted as the USDCHF, with the USD being the base currency and CHF being the terms currency, and not the other way around.

So on a chart of the USDCHF, when you see on a chart that the current 1 minute candle is fluctuating around 1.3127, this means that 1 USD is equivalent to around 1.3127 Swiss Francs:

Note that more than one time frame may be used in combination when trading a forex system. For example, you many need to use a 4 hour chart, a 1 hour chart and a 5 minute chart. Many systems will use multiple time frames to confirm a trend as a part of the set up for a trade.

Let’s have a further look now on how to read forex charts...

How to Read Forex Charts

Especially if you’re new to forex trading, you’ll need to know some more detail about reading forex charts.

Now we've seen an uptrending chart of CHF already, so let's have a look at a downtrending chart of GBP as our example now:


Note these 5 points about how to read these typical forex charts:

1

Realise that if you go long (that is, buy) the currency pair, that the trade will go in your direction if the chart goes up, that is the base currency is strengthening against the terms currency.

On the other hand, if you short (that is, sell) the currency pair, then you’ll want the currency price to go fall, that is, for the chart to trend down, for the trade to go in your direction.

2

Have a look at the time frame displayed. In this example, it is a 5 minute chart of the USDCHF. Some of your trading systems will look at a few times frames, not just one. For example, you may need to look at the daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, 5 minute or even 1 minute charts. So make sure that the chart you’re looking at has the right time frame.

3

Realise that for most forex charts that you’ll read, that it is the BID price that is plotted on a OHLC or candlestick chart, rather than the ask price. Take this into account when placing buy orders based on looking at the prices on the chart, because when you buy, you buy at the ask (offer), not the bid.

So when you buy at market, you’re actually buying at the offer which is the chart price plus the spread.

Also keep this in mind when you’re placing stop orders as well, because most platforms will ask whether you want to place stop orders as “stop if bid”, or “stop if offered”. If you place a “stop if bid” order at “x” price, then you’ll get out when the chart price reaches that “x” price, but if this is a “stop if bid” buy order (as a stop loss for a long position), rather than a stop sell order, then the price you actually get out at will be that price plus the spread. Your trading system will have rules for how to place stop orders, that is whether to place buy stop orders as “if bid” or “if offered”.

For example, let’s say that you’re in a short position, and your stop loss is hit when the chart price reaches 1.7260, so you place a “stop if bid” buy order, as your stop loss order. The price you’ll buy at is going to be 1.7260 plus the spread of say 4 pips, which will be 1.7264. This is because when the bid price is 1.7260, the offer price is 1.7264.

On the other hand, if you place a “stop if offered” buy order at 1.7264, then you’ll get out of the trade when the offer is 1.7264. Note that when this occurs, that the price on the chart will be 1.7264 minus the spread, which comes to 1.7260. Just follow whatever convention and routine your system uses. But you should have this concept clear now.

4

Realise that the times on the bottom of the chart will be displayed in the time zone that the forex charting software is set to. Some are set to Greenwich Mean Time (GMT), while others are set to New York time, or other time zones as well.

What this means is that if there’s a major economic announcement that you want to trade, or exit a trade beforehand, that you’ll have to convert the time of the announcement, which may be in GMT for example, to both your time and the chart time, so you know when the announcement is actually going to happen.

5

Fifthly, check to see if the times on the bottom of the chart correspond to when the candle opens, or when the candle closes. On the above charts, the times corresponding to the candles are the times that the candles closed, at GMT time. Different charts are different in this regard, so see if you can find out. This is especially important if you’re trading systems which rely on the precise price action in relation to major economic announcements.


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Daily Forex Outlook - Tues 29th Aug 06

U.S. Dollar Trading edged slightly lower against the majors

Tue, 29 Aug 2006 02:47:33 GMT
by Easy Forex Team

CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY

  • U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) edged slightly lower against the majors in the overnight forex session as the market awaits the FOMC minutes from the August 8th meeting to better gauge the interest rate policy going forward. In other markets, the Dow Jones index rose by 68pts while the NASDAQ rose by 20pts as a falling oil price lowered fears of high inflation. Crude oil fell by US$1.90 to US$70.61 a barrel as tropical storm Ernesto lost intensity and veered away from important oil rig installations in the Gulf of Mexico. Looking ahead, consumer confidence is due out today together with the FOMC minutes of the August 8th Federal Reserve meeting.
  • The Euro (EUR) traded within a low of 1.2756 and a high of 1.2821, before closing at 1.2779 in the New York session. On the data front, M3 money supply came in less than expected at 7.8% compared to an 8.3% estimate.
  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded within a low of 116.87 and a high of 117.33 versus the dollar, before closing at 117.22 in the New York session. On the data front, the unemployment rate came in as expected at 4.1%, and household spending came in a little worse than expected at -1.3% from a -0.8% expectation but none the less better than the previous result of -2.2%. Looking ahead, Retail sales are due out tomorrow.
  • The Sterling (GBP) traded within a low of 1.8863 and a high of 1.8991, before closing at 1.8935 in the New York session. Looking ahead, mortgage approvals are due out tomorrow.
  • The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded within a low of 0.7570 and a high of 0.7600, before closing at 0.7585 in the New York session. Looking ahead, retails sales are due out tomorrow.
  • Gold (XAU) fell by US$6.90 to US$614.80 an ounce in response to weaker oil prices.

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

FX strategy

  • Euro 1.2790

Initial support at 1.2723 (Aug 25 low) followed by 1.2695 (Aug 15 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.2854 (Aug 23 high) followed by 1.2941 (Aug 21 high).

  • Yen 117.20

Initial support is located at 116.42 (Aug 25 low) followed by 116.09 (Aug 23 low). Initial resistance is now at 117.87 (July 19 high) followed by 118.22 (Apr 18 high).

  • Pound 1.8950

Initial support at 1.883 (Aug 25 low) followed by 1.8775 (Aug 18 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.8999 (Aug 21 high) followed by 1.9026 (Aug 16 high).

  • Australian Dollar 0.7590

Initial support at 0.7546 (38.2% retracement of the 0.7269 to 0.7717 advance) followed by 0.7489 (Jul 20 low). Initial resistance is now at 0.7673 (Aug 23 high) followed by 0.7702 (Aug 16 high).

  • Gold 615

Initial support at 613.14 (Aug 28 low) followed by 607.67 (Aug 18 low). Initial resistance is now at 630.5 (Aug 23 high) followed by 633.1 (Aug 14 high).

Archive

Easy Forex
P.O. Box 53742. Limassol 3317
http://www.easy-forex.com
info@easy-forex.com



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Thursday, August 24, 2006

Daily Forex Tips

EUR/USD

EUR/USD Current spot rate: 1.2778, Pivot: 1.2804
Today trading range: 1.2700 - 1.2845

Resistance: 1.2795 , 1.2845 , 1.2900
Support: 1.2760 , 1.2735 , 1.2700

Advice: There are news from EU and US today, but we expect bearish movements to continue this week, so maybe we'll see break of 1.2760. We sell at current price 1.2778 with 1.2700 target and stop above 1.2815. Good luck.

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Daily Forex Outlook - Thur 24th 06

U.S. Dollar Trading strengthened slightly against the majors

Thu, 24 Aug 2006 02:10:06 GMT
by Easy Forex Team

CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY

  • U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) strengthened slightly against the majors in the overnight foreign exchange trading session even in the face of weaker than expected homes sales data from the US. US existing home sales fell to 6.33million from a 6.55million estimate, and a previous result of 6.62million. In other markets, the Dow Jones index gave up 42pts while the NASDAQ fell by 15pts as a response to weaker housing data and a weaker oil price. Looking ahead, durable goods orders, initial jobless claims, and new home sales are due out tonight.
  • The Euro (EUR) traded within a low of 1.2777 and a high of 1.2850, before closing at 1.2788 in the New York session. Looking ahead, the IFO business climate is due out today.
  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded within a low of 116.11 and a high of 116.61 versus the dollar, before closing at 116.39 in the New York session.
  • The Sterling (GBP) traded within a low of 1.8866 and a high of 1.8995, before closing at 1.8926 in the New York session. Looking ahead, UK GDP is due out tomorrow.
  • The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded within a low of 0.7615 and a high of 0.7670, before closing at 0.7620 in the New York session.
  • Gold (XAU) fell by US$1.00 to US$623.00 an ounce in relatively light trading.

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

  • Euro 1.2785

Initial support at 1.2774 (Aug 23 low) followed by 1.2695 (Aug 15 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.2941 (Aug 21 high) followed by 1.298 (Jun 5 trend high).

  • Yen 116.40

Initial support is located at 115.82 (Aug 22 low) followed by 115.18 (Aug 17 low). Initial resistance is now at 116.85 (Aug 22 high) followed by 117.41 (Jul 25 high).

  • Pound 1.8920

Initial support at 1.8807 (Aug 21 low) followed by 1.8775 (Aug 18 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.8999 (Aug 21 high) followed by 1.9026 (Aug 16 high).

  • Australian Dollar 0.7625

Initial support at 0.7562 (Aug 17 low) followed by 0.7546 (38.2% retracement of the 0.7269 to 0.7717 advance). Initial resistance is now at 0.7673 (Aug 23 high) followed by 0.7702 (Aug 16 high).

  • Gold 622

Initial support at 613.9 (Aug 21 low) followed by 607.67 (Aug 18 low). Initial resistance is now at 633.1 (Aug 14 high) followed by 645 (Aug 11 high).



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Wednesday, August 23, 2006

GLOBAL MARKETS-Oil eases, stocks slip, dollar weak

LONDON, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Wednesday as world powers pondered Iran's offer of more talks on their nuclear standoff while equities slipped in light August trading and the dollar fell against major currencies.

Euro zone government bonds were flat with traders waiting for more economic data to gauge the likely direction of monetary policy.

The price of crude oil, which has worried investors as geopolitical tension and soaring demand has driven it relentlessly higher, dropped below $73 a barrel.

U.S. crude was down 43 cents at $72.67 a barrel. London Brent crude was down 47 cents at $72.77 a barrel.

In reply to U.N. Security Council demands that it halt its nuclear work, Iran suggested on Tuesday that serious talks about the dispute could take place.

Traders had driven the price of oil higher on concerns the row could lead to a cutoff of Iranian oil.

Higher oil prices have hurt equities, but Wednesday's easing had little effect on stocks, which slipped in lacklustre trade.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst index <.FTEU3> of 300 leading shares was down 0.12 percent.

Earlier, Japan's Nikkei share average <.N225> dipped 0.11 percent or 18.14 points to close at 16,163.03. The broader TOPIX <.TOPX> was down 0.09 percent at 1,640.28.

EURO PERKS UP AFTER FALL

The euro staged a modest recovery against the dollar after falling sharply on Tuesday when the closely-watched German ZEW business sentiment index hit its lowest in five years.

The dollar also fell back against the yen, eroding gains made after hawkish comments from Chicago Federal Reserve President Michael Moskow who said more U.S. rate rises may be needed to keep prices in check.

The euro was up 0.13 percent against the dollar at $1.2820 , and the dollar was down 0.2 percent against the yen at 116.28 .

Euro zone government bonds were flat to lower as traders waited for data. Belgium's August business confidence index, setting the stage for Thursday's key Ifo sentiment report, was was due later.


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Todays Technical Trading Points - 23rd Aug 06







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Tuesday, August 22, 2006

European shares rebound, led by techs, miners

PARIS, Aug 22 (Reuters) - European shares headed higher early on Tuesday, drawing strength from Asian bourses and a stabilisation of oil prices, while technology stocks, miners and cement maker Lafarge added to the market's momentum.

Lafarge gained 1.5 percent after France's La Tribune newspaper reported that at least a dozen investment funds and an industrial group were studying the potential acquisition of the group's troubled roofing business.

By 0715 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index of top European shares was 0.4 percent higher at 1,362.03 points, closing in on a three-month peak, although the situation in Iran kept a leash on sentiment.

Iran is due to give its reply on Tuesday to a package backed by six world powers that aims to end a nuclear standoff with the West, but Iranian officials said Iran did not accept the key demand to suspend uranium enrichment.

The euro, and the impact of a strong single currency on euro zone exporters, were also in investors' minds, although companies most exposed to foreign exchange variations, such as car makers <.SXAP>, were for the moment rebounding after Monday's weakness.

Other standout movers included Kuoni , up 1.4 percent after the Swiss travel group posted a first-half net profit that beat analysts' expectations, boosted by strong operating performances in all business units.

Also in Switzerland, net profit at Banque Cantonale Vaudoise rose 38 percent, helping to push the stock 2.5 percent higher.

On the macroeconomic front, investors awaited the publication of Germany's ZEW report, French second-quarter gross domestic product data and euro zone industry orders, for clues on the pace and timing of interest rate hikes in the euro bloc.

The ZEW institute's gauge of investors' and analysts' outlook for the next six months, due at 0900 GMT, is expected to have fallen for a seventh consecutive month in August to 12.0 from 15.1 in July, according to the median forecast of economists polled by Reuters.

"The European markets should be looking very carefully at the German ZEW business expectations report today for signs of further cracks in the recent business confidence boom as it should logically have consequences for ECB interest rate expectations," said Bear Stearns strategist Steve Barrow.

"The trouble is that the ECB will simply pay lip service to weak numbers as they only have their eye on inflation risks right now."

Comments from the presidents of the Federal Reserves of Atlanta and Chicago will also come under scrutiny later in the day, as many investors expect these to back expectations that U.S. rates are not going to be raised again next month.

Reuters


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Euro near highs as more rate rises expected

By Rika Otsuka

TOKYO, Aug 22 (Reuters) - The euro trimmed gains against the dollar on Tuesday on light profit-taking but stayed in sight of a two-month high on expectations that the European Central Bank will keep raising interest rates.

Against the yen, the euro hovered near its highest level since the single European currency was launched in 1999, on forecasts its yield advantage will widen.

"It's clear that euro rates are going to rise faster than Japanese ones, which is making it easy to buy the euro against the yen," said Hideaki Furumaya, forex manager at Trust and Custody Services Bank.

He added that the euro's rate outlook was also offering some support to the single currency against the dollar.

The ECB is expected to tighten credit again after bumping rates up to 3 percent earlier this month, while the Bank of Japan has said it will take its time hiking rates after lifting them to 0.25 percent last month in its first rise in six years.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave its key funds rate at 5.25 percent in September.

The Fed kept rates unchanged at a policy meeting earlier this month due to cooling U.S. economic growth after pushing them up 17 straight times since June 2004.

A Reuters survey of 60 economists showed most see the U.S. economy slowing down enough to prompt a rate cut by the Fed in the second half of next year.

By 0530 GMT, the euro dipped to $1.2875 from around $1.2890 in late U.S. trade. It rose as far as $1.2940 on electronic trading platform EBS on Monday, the highest since early June.

Robust economic growth figures released last week for the euro zone in the second quarter have helped to boost the euro against the dollar, which has been softened by tame inflation reports and weak housing data.

The euro was nearly flat at 149.40 yen , in sight of a record high of 149.75 yen touched on EBS on Monday.

Traders said it was just a matter of time before the euro pierces the psychological 150 yen level.

Profit taking in the euro against the dollar helped the U.S. currency to climb to 116.10 yen from around 115.85 yen.

The yen slipped in cross trading as investors continued to use the currency to fund carry trades -- where currencies with low rates are used to buy higher-yielding ones. That helped the dollar to firm versus the yen, dealers said.

Market participants said that dollar would continue to trade in ranges while the Fed rate outlook remained murky.

"It's still hard to tell what's in store for the dollar," said Furumaya at Trust and Custody Services.

"There's a feeling in the market that while more consecutive rate rises are now out of the picture, it's not like a rate cut is in the books for the time being. It is not a continuous dollar selling situation."

EURO DATA ON RADAR

Dealers said that with no major U.S. economic data due on Tuesday, the market would focus on figures out of the euro zone.

The ZEW economic research institute releases its August indicator of economic sentiment in Germany at 0900 GMT.

"If ZEW's data comes in stronger than expected, it could prompt more euro buying," said Daisuke Uno, market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.

The headline index is likely to show a fall for a seventh straight month to 12.0 from 15.1 in July, according to the median forecast of economists polled by Reuters. Respondents cited high oil prices, rising interest rates and a looming sales tax hike.

Figures for June euro zone industry orders are also due at 0900 GMT.


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New Forex tools added !

Hey All,

I have just add links to two great Free forex tools.

A Pivot Point calculator

Live Streaming charts.

Enjoy,

The Forex Profiteer

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Todays Technical Trading Points - Aug 22nd 06







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Daily Forex Outlook - Tues 22nd Aug 06

U.S. Dollar Trading was mixed against the majors

Tue, 22 Aug 2006 02:24:56 GMT
by Easy Forex Team

CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY

  • U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed against the majors in the overnight foreign exchange trading session as the USD fell against all major currencies except the JPY which seemed to go against the trend. With no data released from the US, the market eyed rising oil prices and developments in the Middle East for direction. In other markets, the Dow Jones index fell by 36pts while the NASDAQ gave up 16pts as rising oil prices and earnings downgrades hampered any advances in the share markets. Crude oil rose by USD$1.31 to USD$72.45 a barrel as the chances of sanctions being imposed on Iran have risen due to their determination in continuing to progress with their nuclear program. Looking ahead, the Richmond Federal manufacturing index is due out today.
  • The Euro (EUR) traded within a low of 1.2828 and a high of 1.2938, before closing at 1.2892 in the New York session. On the data front, Eurozone trade balance came in at +2Bln surplus compared to a -1.0Bln deficit forecast. Looking ahead, current account and the ZEW survey are due out today.
  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded within a low of 115.36 and a high of 115.97 versus the dollar, before closing at 115.86 in the New York session. Looking ahead, trade balance is due out tomorrow.
  • The Sterling (GBP) traded within a low of 1.8809 and a high of 1.8997, before closing at 1.8924 in the New York session.
  • The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded within a low of 0.7590 and a high of 0.7643, before closing at 0.7630 in the New York session.
  • Gold (XAU) rose strongly by US$13.50 to US$628.10 an ounce on the back of stronger crude oil prices and a weaker USD.

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

FX strategy

  • Euro 1.2865

Initial support at 1.2823 (Aug 21 low) followed by 1.2781 (Aug 18 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.2941 (Aug 21 high) followed by 1.298 (Jun 5 trend high).

  • Yen 116.15

Initial support is located at 115.04 (61.8% retracement of the 113.97 to 116.76 advance) followed by 114.63 (76.4% retracement of the 113.97 to 116.76 advance). Initial resistance is now at 116.19 (Aug 17 high) followed by 116.39 (Aug 16 low).

  • Pound 1.8905

Initial support at 1.8807 (Aug 21 low) followed by 1.8775 (Aug 18 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.9026 (Aug 16 high) followed by 1.9146 (Aug 8 trend high).

  • Australian Dollar 0.7615

Initial support at 0.7562 (Aug 17 low) followed by 0.7546 (38.2% retracement of the 0.7269 to 0.7717 advance). Initial resistance is now at 0.7649 (61.8% retracement of the 0.7702 to 0.7562 decline) followed by 0.7702 (Aug 16 high).

  • Gold 626

Initial support at 607.67 (Aug 18 low) followed by 602.99 (Jul 24 low). Initial resistance is now at 633.1 (Aug 14 high) followed by 645 (Aug 11 high).

Archive

Easy Forex
P.O. Box 53742. Limassol 3317
http://www.easy-forex.com
info@easy-forex.com



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Monday, August 21, 2006

US dollar softer in Tokyo afternoon trade as more US rates seen unlikely

TOKYO (XFN-ASIA) - The US dollar was softer against the yen and euro in early afternoon trading here, amid growing conviction that the US Federal Reserve will not resume its series of rises in interest rates, dealers said.

At 12.19 pm (0319 GMT) here, the dollar was at 115.62 yen, down from 115.72 yen in Sydney nearly two hours earlier. The euro was at 1.2877 usd, up from 1.2865 usd in Sydney.
The belief that the Fed will not resume raising interest rates was supported by US consumer sentiment data released Friday, dealers said. The University of Michigan preliminary consumer confidence index dropped to 78.7 this month from 84.7 last month. The median forecast for this month had been 83.8.

Dealers said that, with the market lacking strong leads today, players were waiting for some important events this week. These are the release of data on new home sales in the US last month, a speech by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke and the release of the Japanese consumer price index (CPI) for last month, which is being calculated using a new method.
"[Japanese] market participants here have returned to the market [from their summer vacation last week] but the market is moving in a narrow range," said Daisuke Uno, a strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.

"The market is more or less likely to respond to the upcoming new homes data and Berkanke's speech, and Japan's July CPI for further clues about the Fed's next possible move," he said.
"Basically, participants are interpreting the Fed's move earlier this month as an end to its rate-hike series, rather than just a pause, given that the US inflation readings have shown a drop," Uno said.

Norihiro Tsuruta, a senior currency analyst at Shinko Research Institute, said participants would be looking in particular at Bernanke's speech, which will be his first since the Fed paused in its series of increases in interest rates.

"The US economic indicators so far have shown both strong and weak readings. That is why participants are so curious about what he is going to say," Tsurata said.

Tokyo 12.19 pm (0319 GMT) Sydney 11.20 am (0120 GMT)

US dollar
yen 115.62 down from 115.72
sfr 1.2276 down from 1.2294

Euro
usd 1.2877 up from 1.2865
stg 0.6827 up from 0.6825
yen 148.88 up from 148.85
sfr 1.5808 down from 1.5813

Sterling
usd 1.8861 up from 1.8847
yen 218.07 up from 218.06
sfr 2.3154 down from 2.3163
Australian dollar

usd 0.7595 up from 0.7588
stg 0.4027 unchanged
yen 87.813 down from 87.835


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Euro hits record high vs yen on rates

By Naomi Tajitsu

TOKYO, Aug 21 (Reuters) - The euro gained broadly on Monday, clawing up to another record high against the yen on expectations the European Central Bank will keep raising interest rates.

With the market fixated on rates, analysts said that the single European currency was the clear favourite among traders given that the ECB is forecast to tighten credit further after bumping rates up to 3 percent earlier this month. "When you think about which currency is easiest to buy, dollar rates look as if they have stalled, while yen rates are not going to rise any time soon," said Nobuo Ibaraki, forex manager at Nomura Trust and Banking.

"That leaves the euro the clear winner."

The Federal Reserve is seen keeping rates at 5.25 percent in September, which would mark its second straight pause.

The Fed stopped raising rates this month due to cooling inflation risks and a slowdown in the U.S. economy after tightening at 17 consecutive policy meetings over two years.

The yen has fallen out of favour as the Bank of Japan has stressed that it will take its time raising rates after lifting them to 0.25 percent last month, its first rise in six years.

Against the dollar, the euro climbed to $1.2870 by 0520 GMT, up roughly 0.4 percent on the day and in sight of a two-and-a-half month high above $1.2913.

Traders said that the euro's gains had been driven by stop-loss orders triggered around $1.2840-1.2850.

That helped to push the euro to 149.07 yen on electronic trading board EBS, the single currency's highest level since it was launched in 1999. It was around 148.50 yen in late U.S. trade on Friday.

The dollar inched down to 115.65 yen from 115.80 yen.

The U.S. currency stayed on the back foot after the University of Michigan's index of consumer sentiment on Friday dropped in August from a month earlier, indicating that the economy is slowing even as inflation expectations climbed.

CHINA CHIMES IN

Even though traders expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged next month, they will be on the lookout for any climb in prices, particularly given that Friday's index data showed a significant pick-up in inflation expectations.

Dealers expected currencies to move in the narrow ranges that have dominated the market in past months, particularly given a light schedule of economic data this week.

Barring any big surprises, U.S. housing and Japanese consumer price figures due this week, as well as a speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday, are expected to have little impact on the market.

An interest rate rise by China on Friday increased expectations that the central bank would allow for a stronger yuan, boosting the Chinese currency to 7.9680 against the dollar on Monday -- up from the previous close of 7.9745.

The rate announcement pushed the yuan closer to the 7.9650 marked earlier this month, its highest level since the yuan was revalued in July last year.

China's rate hike provided some impetus for the yen to appreciate on Friday, traders said, but had little effect on Monday.

"In the long-term, the rate increase is unlikely to boost the yen sharply higher against the dollar as the market considers the future paths of monetary policy in the United States and Japan more important issues for the pair," said Masafumi Yamamoto, currency strategist at Nikko Citigroup.

The yen is often seen as the proxy for the yuan, which has limited liquidity.

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1-Oil picks up ahead of Iran nuclear deadline

By Neil Chatterjee

SINGAPORE, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose above $71 a barrel on Monday, bolstered by Iran's determination to continue with its atomic fuel programme ahead of a deadline from the United Nations to halt nuclear work.

U.S. light crude for September delivery was up 49 cents at $71.63 a barrel by 0600 GMT, after gaining $1.08 on Friday. London Brent crude for October climbed 43 cents to $72.73 a barrel.

Iran said on Sunday it would not suspend uranium enrichment, ruling out the main demand in a package backed by six world powers. Iran plans to respond formally to by Tuesday.

The United Nations Security Council has demanded that Iran halt its nuclear work by a second deadline of Aug. 31, raising the prospect of punitive action by the U.N.

"Hizbollah's survival appears to have bolstered Iranian confidence, sharpening the chances of a confrontation over nuclear development," said Geoff Pyne at ABN AMRO.

Traders fear the world's fourth-biggest oil exporter might retaliate by withholding exports of more than 2 million barrels per day (bpd).

Dealers are also watching the week-old truce between Israel and Hizbollah, which the U.N. said on Sunday could easily collapse again into "an abyss of violence and bloodshed" if the U.N. resolution that engendered it was violated further.

The U.N. condemned an Israeli raid a day earlier on Hizbollah guerrillas in Lebanon as a breach of Security Council resolution 1701, which stopped the 34-day war.

Traders fear a prolonged conflict could spread to Middle East oil producers, but the ceasefire helped knock over 7 percent off oil prices over the past two weeks. Prices on Friday dipped below $70 for the first time since June.

Relieving supply pressure, BP said on Friday that it had boosted production by 70,000 bpd at its giant Prudhoe Bay oilfield in Alaska over the last several days, to about 220,000 bpd or about half of normal operating levels.

Traders had feared the lost output from the biggest oil field in the United States, due to pipe corrosion and leakage problems, might lead to a big drop in crude stocks in the world's largest oil market, but data last week showed a decline in line with forecasts.

Crude inventories have slipped from the eight-year high reached earlier this year, but remain larger than almost any time since 1999, giving refiners a supply buffer against any unexpected disruptions.

"Global oil fundamentals continue to support our view that barring a severe disruption, crude supplies are adequate," said Pyne.

In OPEC member Nigeria, troops stormed a slum in the southern oil capital of Port Harcourt on Friday, following a government order to use "force for force" against militants who have kidnapped more than a dozen foreign oil workers this month.

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Oil prices climb in Asian trade on fears about fragility of truce in Lebanon

SINGAPORE (XFN-ASIA) - Oil prices climbed in Asian trading hours after an Israeli commando raid into Lebanon threatened to unravel a fragile truce, and after Iranian missile tests added to tension in the Middle East, dealers said.
At 10.35 am (0235 GMT) here, New York's main contract, light sweet crude for September delivery, was at 71.50 usd a barrel, up 0.36 usd from its close of 71.14 usd in the US Friday.
Brent North Sea crude for October delivery had risen 0.30 usd to 72.60 usd a barrel.
Prices fell briefly below 70 usd Friday, but failed to hold at those levels.
"The price tried to go below 70 usd on Friday, but such declines were not sustained so there was a rebound," said Dariusz Kolwalczyk, an investment strategist with CFC Seymour Securities in Hong Kong.
"The rebound was exacerbated by a rise in the geopolitical risk premium after Israel conducted this raid in Lebanon to stop the resupply of arms to Hezbollah.
"So this, sort of, increased tension in the region, and as a result we are moving higher," he said.
Israeli commandos sneaked into eastern Lebanon Saturday in a raid which defense officials said had been intended to prevent the smuggling of arms from Syria to the Hezbollah militia.
UN Secretary General Kofi Annan said the attack was a violation of a UN-brokered ceasefire that ended 34 days of fighting between Israeli forces and Hezbollah guerrillas in Lebanon.
As Lebanese and UN officials warned that such actions would jeopardize the shaky truce, Israel warned yesterday that it would keep up raids against Hezbollah to prevent Hezbollah from getting weapons from abroad.
Oil market analyst Kowalczyk said the spotlight was also on how Iran will respond to a UN Security Council resolution urging it to halt its uranium enrichment program by the end of this month or face the possibility of sanctions.
But insistence by Iran that a nuclear freeze is not on the agenda and the test-firing of a short-range missile yesterday during military exercises will not help ease tensions, Kowalczyk said.
This "highlights the fact that there is another confrontation in the making and therefore there is a higher geopolitical risk premium," Kowalczyk said.

afp

For more information and to contact AFX: www.afxnews.com and
www.afxpress.com

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Todays Technical Trading Points - 21t Aug 06







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Daily Forex Outlook - 21st Aug 06

U.S. Dollar Trading was mixed against the majors

Mon, 21 Aug 2006 02:08:46 GMT
by Easy Forex Team

CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY

  • U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was mixed against the majors in the overnight forex trading session as US consumer sentiment disappointed. The sentiment index fell from 84.7 to 78.7 in August below expectations of a modest fall to 83.6. In other markets, the Dow Jones index rose by 46pts while the NASDAQ gained 6pts capping the best week in 3 years for the NASDAQ. Crude oil rose as focus was again on Iran and their nuclear ambitions, with the UN deadline nearing before sanctions are imposed. Crude oil finished up USD$1.03 to USD$71.09 a barrel. Looking ahead, Redbook store sales and the Richmond Fed Survey are due out tomorrow.

  • The Euro (EUR) traded within a low of 1.2780 and a high of 1.2845, before closing at 1.2820 in the New York session.

  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded within a low of 115.45 and a high of 116.00 versus the dollar, before closing at 115.80 in the New York session.

  • The Sterling (GBP) traded within a low of 1.8780 and a high of 1.8860, before closing at 1.8820 in the New York session.

  • The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded within a low of 0.7560 and a high of 0.7615, before closing at 0.7580 in the New York session.

  • Gold (XAU) rose by US$1.00 to US$615 an ounce after tight trading with re-focus on Iran and their nuclear ambitions.

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

FX strategy

  • Euro 1.2835

Initial support at 1.2768 (Aug 16 low) followed by 1.2695 (Aug 15 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.2847 (Aug 18 high) followed by 1.2889 (Aug 17 corrective high).

  • Yen 115.75

Initial support is located at 115.04 (61.8% retracement of the 113.97 to 116.76 advance) followed by 114.63 (76.4% retracement of the 113.97 to 116.76 advance). Initial resistance is now at 116.19 (Aug 17 high) followed by 116.39 (Aug 16 low).

  • Pound 1.8825

Initial support at 1.8775 (Aug 18 low) followed by 1.8743 (38.2% retracement of the 1.8090 to 1.9146 advance). Initial resistance is now at 1.887 (Aug 18 high) followed by 1.9026 (Aug 16 high).

  • Australian Dollar 0.7590

Initial support at 0.7562 (Aug 17 low) followed by 0.7546 (38.2% retracement of the 0.7269 to 0.7717 advance). Initial resistance is now at 0.7627 (Aug 18 high) followed by 0.7702 (Aug 16 high).

  • Gold 613

Initial support at 609.92 (50% retracement pf the 543.50 to 676.35 advance) followed by 602.99 (Jul 24 low). Initial resistance is now at 619.06 (Aug 18 high) followed by 632.75 (Aug 16 high).








Archive



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http://www.easy-forex.com
info@easy-forex.com


Sunday, August 20, 2006

Some Problems

Hey all,

Sorry have some problems with the blog.

I have defaulted to a basic page, it will be back up soon.

Thanks

The Forex Profiteer.



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Saturday, August 19, 2006

Have a great weekend!

Hi All,

I hope everyone has a great weekend.

See you all on monday with more news, signals and tutorials.


The Forex Profiteer

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Friday, August 18, 2006

Daily Forex Outlook - 18th Aug 06

CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY

  • U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) strengthened against the majors in the overnight forex trading session after weakening during European trading. Initial jobless claims came in at 312k compared to a 315k estimate. Leading indicators also disappointed coming in at -0.1 compared to a 0.1 forecast. In other markets, the Dow Jones index rose a modest 8pts while the NASDAQ was also up 8pts. Crude oil fell as supply concerns were eased in the US. Oil fell by US$1.83 a barrel to US$70.06. Looking ahead The University of Michigan sentiment is out today.
  • The Euro (EUR) traded within a low of 1.2815 and a high of 1.2885, before closing at 1.2828 in the New York session. On the data front, Eurozone CPI disappointed coming in at -0.3% for July from an expected -0.2%. Industrial production came in at -0.1% right on expectations. Looking ahead, the Eurozone trade balance is due out today.
  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded within a low of 115.20 and a high of 116.15 versus the dollar, before closing at 115.98 in the New York session.
  • The Sterling (GBP) traded within a low of 1.8824 and a high of 1.9006, before closing at 1.8857 in the New York session. On the data front, retail sales was worse than expected for July coming in at -0.3% from an estimated 0.2%.
  • The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded within a low of 0.7602 and a high of 0.7664, before closing at 0.7610 in the New York session.
  • Gold (XAU) fell by US$13.70 to US$614.20 an ounce as investors sold out after gold could not break resistance at US$633, and the continuing stability in the Middle East.

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

FX strategy

  • Euro 1.2825

Initial support at 1.2768 (Aug 16 low) followed by 1.2695 (Aug 15 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.2913 (Aug 10 corrective high) followed by 1.2935 (Jun 6 high).

  • Yen 115.95

Initial support is located at 115.04 (61.8% retracement of the 113.97 to 116.76 advance) followed by 114.63 (76.4% retracement of the 113.97 to 116.76 advance). Initial resistance is now at 115.90 (Aug 17 high) followed by 116.39 (Aug 16 low).

  • Pound 1.8845

Initial support at 1.888 (Aug 16 low) followed by 1.8841 (Aug 14 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.9026 (Aug 16 high) followed by 1.9146 (Aug 8 high).

  • Australian Dollar 0.7615

Initial support at 0.7622 (Aug 17 low) followed by 0.7565 (Aug 9 low). Initial resistance is now at 0.7717 (Aug 10 high) followed by 0.7727 (May 17 corrective high).

  • Gold 615

Initial support at 602.57 (Jul 24 low) followed by 577.1 (Jun 28 low). Initial resistance is now at 633.1 (Aug 14 high) followed by 645 (Aug 11 high).

Easy Forex
P.O. Box 53742. Limassol 3317
http://www.easy-forex.com
info@easy-forex.com




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Todays Techincal Trading Points - 18th Aug 06








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Heres Todays Live trading Signal - AUS/USD

Hi

Here is todays trading signal as promised:

BUY - AUDUSD at 0.7609, StopLoss 0.7582, TakeProfit 0.7669.

We take no resposiblity for these trading signals, use them at your own risk. Test them out on a Demo account first. Or if trading live only trade 4% of your account.

The Forex Profiteer.

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Thursday, August 17, 2006

Live trading signals tomorrow. 2am EST - 10am EST

Hi All,

I will be posting Live Signals tomorrow, i didnt post them last time as the provider didnt trade for the day, so hopefully all goes well. Dont forget to check out this blog between 2am EST and 10am EST.

Good Luck

The Forex Profiteer

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Dubai/Switzerland Conspiracy Theory....Good Read.

This is the story about a Currency Brokerage firm based out of Zug, Switzerland, and about the firm's rise to fame in the Forex market... and some interesting dirt on MARC RICH, the man who did a shake down on a UAE Arabian Prince involved with the Swiss firm....

read more | digg story

Update Delay, My Apologies!

Hi All,

Sorry for the delay in information this morning.

My ISP went down and i had no connection!! I was going crazy.

Anyway i have put this mornings updates up now.

Enjoy.

The Forex Profiteer.


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Daily Trend Trade

The USD has come under further pressure over the last 18 hours after US economic reports have helped further diminish expectations for further near term interest rate increases by the Fed. The data shows tame inflation and an increasingly uncertain housing market which in turn will lessen price pressures in the US. In addition to the Fed continuing to pause there is now another factor beginning to weigh on the dollar and that is the pace of the slow down of the economy. Housing starts are down nearly 18 per cent from their highest level this year and yesterday the giant US consumer store, Wal-Mart, reported a fall in profits for the first time in 10 years. So we do expect this dollar to continue to weaken further, There is currently technical resistance for the Euro at $1.2860 which needs to be taken out but it looks like the new trading range is shaping up to be $1.2700 to $1.3200.

FX Trend Trader
Warren Lodge, Braybrooke Gardens, Wargrave, Berkshire, RG10 8DW
http://www.fxtrendtrader.com
tony.berry@fxtrendtrader.com


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Daily Forex Outlook - 16th Aug 06

CURRENCY TRADING SUMMARY

  • U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) further weakened against the majors in the overnight foreign exchange trading session as US CPI numbers came in generally as expected, but housing and industrial production disappointed the forex market. US Headline CPI came in at 0.4% for the month of July, in line with expectations. Core CPI fell to 0.2% from an expected 0.3%. Housing starts for the month of July posted 1.795Mln compared to an estimated 1.805Mln, and Industrial Production fell to 0.4% from 0.8% the previous month, whereas the market was expecting a fall to only 0.5%. In other markets, the Dow Jones index rose by 97pts and the NASDAQ rose by 35pts as the markets viewed the CPI data released last night as positive. Crude oil fell by US$1.16 to US$71.89 a barrel as traders took profit and stocks of crude were in line with expectations. Looking ahead, initial jobless claims and index of leading indicators is due out today.
  • The Euro (EUR) traded within a low of 1.2772 and a high of 1.2863, before closing at 1.2840 in the New York session. Looking ahead, Eurozone CPI is due out today as well as Industrial Production.
  • The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded within a low of 115.65 and a high of 116.35 versus the dollar, before closing at 115.87 in the New York session.
  • The Sterling (GBP) traded within a low of 1.8882 and a high of 1.9023, before closing at 1.8965 in the New York session. Looking ahead, retail sales are due out today.
  • The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded within a low of 0.7648 and a high of 0.7698, before closing at 0.7680 in the New York session.
  • Gold (XAU) rose by US$6.10 to US$628.90 an ounce on the back of a weaker greenback.

TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

FX strategy

  • Euro 1.2845

Initial support at 1.2768 (Aug 16 low) followed by 1.2695 (Aug 15 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.2867 (Aug 16 high) followed by 1.2913 (Aug 10 corrective high).

  • Yen 115.80

Initial support is located at 115.63 (Aug 16 low) followed by 115.11 (Aug 11 low). Initial resistance is now at 116.76 (Aug 14 high) followed by 116.96 (76.4% retracement of 117.89 to 113.97 decline).

  • Pound 1.8960

Initial support at 1.888 (Aug 16 low) followed by 1.8841 (Aug 14 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.9026 (Aug 16 high) followed by 1.9146 (Aug 8 high).

  • Australian Dollar 0.7680

Initial support at 0.7627 (Aug 16 low) followed by 0.7565 (Aug 9 low). Initial resistance is now at 0.7717 (Aug 10 high) followed by 0.7727 (May 17 corrective high).

  • Gold 628

Initial support at 621 (Aug 15 low) followed by 602.57 (Jul 24 low). Initial resistance is now at 633.1 (Aug 14 high) followed by 645 (Aug 11 high).

Easy Forex
P.O. Box 53742. Limassol 3317
http://www.easy-forex.com
info@easy-forex.com


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Todays Technical Trading Points - 17th Aug 06

Sorry for the delay, Internet problems earlier.
Here are todays techincal trading points:









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Wednesday, August 16, 2006

Forex Trading 'Must Do': Instant Guide For Forex Beginners

It is believe that more than 50% of Forex traders are losing money long term in the foreign currency exchange market. Yet, there are still a lot of Forex traders jump in to the market, trade blindly and lost their money. Trade after trade, its surprising to see that 'normally-losing' traders keep betting (not investing!) their money into Forex market without reviewing their trading strategy. No matter you are the experienced or the beginners, there are certain 'must-do' when trading Forex to manage the risk wisely and to increase your possibilities in making profits.

Forex traders must-do 1: Invest in your brain first
If you are serious about investing in Forex market, building up your trading skills and knowledge is the very first step that you must take. Seminars, workshops, video tutorials, online learning, or even books are handful to help us learn from the professional. Learn to implement technical charting into your trades; learn using indicators to determine the right time to enter/exit the market; brush up your experience by trading with a demo account… all these are effective to ensure your smooth starts and it will definitely reduce your chances of losing money.

Forex traders must-do 2: Getting the right trading system
It is wise to research very well and consider all the various brokers' system available to you before making your choice. By applying certain level of computer automations (such like charting and doing auto trades), trading; a well-designed trading system will reduce your work dramatically. This in turns give you more time to focus on studying the market and plotting your strategy. Also, using auto-trading system will avoid you from doing emotional-trades.

Forex traders must-do 3: Have a trading plan
As the old says: “Fail to plan is plan to fail”. Trading is like sailing boat middle in the sea; you will not be going anywhere without compass and navigator. What is the detail objective of the trades? How much profit to expect from the trade? When to get into the market? How much to invest? What price to exit the market? If things do not work out, when do execute the stop loss order? How high is the affordable risk? A good trading plan should at least answers the above questions. Further more, if your trading plan fails, review and modify your trading plan. Find out your mistakes and learn from them.

Forex traders must-do 4: Money management
Money management is controlling your risk through the use of protective stops, while balancing your potential for profit against your potential for loss. For example, good money management means you know your profit objective and the odds of being right or wrong, and controlling your risk with protective stops. You are better off with a trade where you might lose $1000 if you are wrong and make $500 if you are right, that would work eight times out of ten, than to take a trade where you would make $1000 if you are right and lose only $500 if you are wrong, but works only one time out of three. If you are investing using your savings, it's even more important that you manage your money in your trading and in your personal expenses. Chances are high that you miss a good investing chance because of you are lack of capital.

Forex traders must-do 5: Discipline trading
Trading Forex with discipline is important. Success in Forex trading could not be achieved by plotting out the best trading plan. It is also depends on implementing the trading plan. Be discipline, trade according to your plan and never trade with your emotion no matter you are losing money or winning. Greed will stop you from taking profit at predetermined level; while fear will stop you from making the nice kill in the market.

Without a doubt, Forex is gaining its popularity fast against other kind of trading. No limited market access, no liquidity issues-after market hours, zero commission fees, low capital requirements with high leverage rates, and no restrictions on short selling -- Forex can be very beneficial. Always remember to plan your investment wisely by investing first on yourself; you shall get your reward at the end of the road.

Teddy, writter and webmaster in financial investment. Learn Forex trading from scratch in his website at http://www.golearnforex.net.

Todays Techincal Trading Points - 16th Aug 06

















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Im testing Live Trading Signals Today!

Hi,

For anyone whos interested i will be posting Live trading signals from a provider today.

They will be starting at 2:00am EST and continuing till Approx 10am EST.

These signals will be updated throughtout the day, so if you want to give them a try i suggest doing it on a Demo account. I accept no reasponsibility for any losses with these signals.

Good Luck

The Forex Profiteer.


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Forex Market Outlook

EUR/USD Daily Outlook: 1.2786

Wed, 16 Aug 2006 02:05:44 GMT
by AceTrader Team

-------------------------------------------------------------

www.AceTrader.com

Updating time :15 Aug 2006 23:07 GMT

As euro has eased after y'day's rally to 1.2805,
minor consolidation is envisaged in Asia but reckon
pullback wud be ltd to 1.2760/70, yield resumption
of near term rise fm 1.2695 to 1.2810/20 n possibly


twds 1.2842 (prev. sup).

Buy on dips with stop as indicated, below wud
risk 1.2730/35 but minor sup at 1.2712 shud hold...

Range Forecast
1.2775 / 1.2800

Resistance/Support
R: 1.2805/1.2842/1.2874
S: 1.2751/1.2712/1.2695

--------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/JPY OUTLOOK - 116.02

Wed, 16 Aug 2006 04:27:56 GMT
by AceTrader Team

--------------------------------------------------

Updating time : 16 Aug 2006 04:19 GMT

Although sideways trading abv 115.85 is likely
to continue ahead of European opening, as y'day's

earlier this week at 116.75, consolidation with
downside bias remains to indicated obj.

Sell recovery n exit on decline as below 115.75
is needed to confirm top has been made...

Range Forecast
115.95 / 116.20

Resistance/Support
R: 116.22/116.75/117.13
S: 115.75/115.12/114.67

-------------------------------------------------------------

Forex Market Outlook on Majors

Wed, 16 Aug 2006 02:09:56 GMT

-------------------------------------------------------------

Updating time : 15 Aug 2006 23:22 GMT

As 1.8979 has capped y'day's rally, cable's re-
treat fm there suggests minor consolidation wud be
seen in Asia but 1.8910/20 shud limit downside n
yield another rise, abv said res wud bring stronger
retracement of last week's decline to 1.8990/00.

Hold long with stop as indicated, below risks
further weakness to 1.8875/80 b4 rebound...


Range Forecast

1.8925 / 1.8950

Resistance/Support

R: 1.8979/1.8990/1.9055
S: 1.8928/1.8882/1.8843


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